Stanford University 2026 Insurance Market Report

Wildfire is shaping the CA Insurance Market.

Stanford University Climate and Energy Policy Program has released a white paper that looks at the current home insurance crisis with origins like Prop 103 that goes back as far 1988. 

Proposition 103, although enacted to manage a surge in the auto insurance premiums, established a statutory framework for rate setting, regulatory interpretations and enforcement practices.

A few highlights from the report:

Between 2020 – 2026:

  • Homeowner premiums are up 84% 
  • Deductibles rose from $1,813 – $2,553 representing financial pressures on homeowners
  • A growing number of homeowners are being forced onto FAIR Plan
  • FAIR Plan now covers ~5% of California homes, up from ~2% in 2020
  • ~60% of homeowners in California have a least one mortgage
  • More than 1 in 17 new home loans are being written with minimal coverage that protects little more than fire, smoke, and lightning.
  • We are now pay more for less coverage.
  • FAIR Plan is not for high-risk areas anymore. It is rapidly expanding into low and moderate risk areas.
  • Home insurance has started to affect overall home affordability. 

Wildfire Risk Reduction has become the driver of affordability. Improving long-term affordability in high-risk areas will require substantial reductions in physical risk, to create affordable premiums.

Do you know what these terms mean?

  • FAIR Plan
  • Admitted Insurers
  • Excess and Surplus (E&S) Insurers
  • Residual Insurers
  • HO-6, HO-3, DO, and DT Policies

Understanding home insurance used to be something our insurance brokers needed to know. The cost and importance of home insurance now demand that we have a good understanding of the different types and coverage of these plans. Your understanding could make a big difference in affordability and coverage in the event of a wildfire.

FAIR Plan has a rate increase of 29.1% scheduled for October 2026

Click on the button below to learn more and view home insurance rate increases by ZIP code:

Image Courtesy: Stanford Climate & Energy Policy Program

Image Courtesy: Stanford Climate & Energy Policy Program

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